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From [HERE] Money talks, and right now Republican money clearly indicates that Michigan and Pennsylvania are off the table. They've redeployed resources to Wisconsin, where Democrats are playing their own defense. But as Mitt Romney goes looking for new paths to 270 electoral votes, his campaign ever so slowly gives credence to the growing feeling that his chances are dimming.
-- And this was the week the polling dam finally broke -- both on the national and state levels. The overall preponderance of polls showed President Obama with a discernible lead over Romney nationwide and in states like Florida, Ohio and Virginia that are likely to determine the winner of an Electoral College majority.
Most notably, the national polls all showed the president at his target for reelection among white voters; Obama won 43 percent of whites in 2008 but is favored for reelection this year if he can clear roughly 39 percent. CNN/ORC showed Obama at 42 percent among whites, Fox News at 40 and ABC News/Washington Post at 41 percent. And a new poll from the Democratic outfit Democracy Corps showed Obama at 40 percent among whites without college degrees, the voters most resistant to the president in this campaign.
At these levels of support among whites, Obama is the favorite for reelection. For Romney to get back into this race, he needs to hold Obama under 37 percent or 38 percent among white voters.