Bush's Convention Bounce Worst Ever for Incumbent President
Friday, September 10, 2004 at 01:53AM
TheSpook
The new Gallup poll, conducted entirely after the
GOP convention and therefore the first poll that truly measures Bush's
bounce, shows Bush with a very small bounce indeed: 2 points, whether
you look at registered voters (RVs) or likely voters (LVs). His support
among RVs has risen from 47 percent before to 49 percent after the
convention, so that he now leads Kerry by a single point (49-48) rather
than trailing by a point. Note also that Bush's 2-point bounce from his
convention (which is defined as the change in a candidate's level of
support, not in margin) is the worst ever received by an incumbent
president, regardless of party, and the worst ever received by a
Republican candidate, whether incumbent or not (see this Gallup
analysis for all the relevant historical data). In 2000, Bush received
an 8-point bounce. And even his hapless father received a 5-point
bounce in 1992. The poll contains other results that suggest the
relative ineffectiveness of the GOP convention. [more ]
Super Ho Nader says Kerry 'blew it,' ensuring Bush will win race (BW
thought that Nader thought that he could win though? Isn't that why he
is running? to win? He should go get some more money from his GOP
pimps) [more ]
Ralph Nader's campaign schedule for September
consists almost completely of battleground states, where his presence
could aid in re-electing George W. Bush. From September 11th through
September 18th, Nader will be stumping in the swing states of
Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and Colorado.
This route cannot be coincidental and it in fact belies claims he made
when first announcing his presidential candidacy: "This is a campaign
that strives to displace the present corporate regime of the Bush
administration. [more ]