My letter to the Editor At Forbes Magazine in response to a newsletter article: Consumer Prices Fall, Housing Rebounds [more ]
The demand for food as we know, is somewhat inelastic, it's no
surprise those prices didn't drop ( that's fancy econ talk for we gotta
eat) , certainly less elastic than clothing , which declined in price
and probably in no small part due to weakened consumer demand. Hence,
clothing demand is probably a better indicator of where we are and
headed economically. Oil's price as an indicator is subject to many non
consumers influences , currently at least , to be of any forecasting
value other than it's impact in reducing demand for other items , and
that's bad news . We called it stagflation back in the early 70's , A
prior time that the oil boys had us by the crotch I recommend
David Halberstam's " The Reckoning " for and insightful and
entertaining read on that era , but back to today .
Being a proponent of logical fact based economic analysis and policy as
contrasted with the ideological "faithbased" variety , currently in
vogue, which holds that tax cuts and unregulated foreign trade
are the great panacea for all ailments economic, I
ask: Is it not time that business leaders at least start wondering,
where their profits will come from if we continue to reduce wages, and
thereby significantly diminish our own highly profitable domestic
markets? That question has been barred from the
table to a significant degree by those controlling the levers of
commerce.
Long-term interest versus short is the basic quandary. Sound decision
making at the highest levels must answer the question, where do we want
to be as a society ? This lessens the emphasis and allure of
shorterm thinking .
To ignore the long-term society question puts at risk America's real
business and societal interest; something earlier generations of
American business leaders, seemingly, better understood; and that is
fact, no romantic notion as any babyboomer can attest. How do you think
we became so spoiled? We ran our businesses with a longer-term
view and more concern for civic responsibility
What perplexes me is why we boomers , business leaders in
particular , are content create a less prosperous
future our own successor generations ? We still to no small
degree, call the shots and shape the values of commerce. The ball is in
our court, as they say. As the architects of downsizing
, opportunistic mergers and accusations , outsourcing
and the attendants of increases in both income
disparity and poverty ,that's far to many lets, net shots and out
of bounds serves on our watch , a few aces aside . As is
the plight of all generations , court time is dwindling, that we can't
control but the dwindling of the middleclass (The American consumer
base) on our watch is in our control and therefore our responsibility.
Greg Fuller, BrownWatch Contributor